Elasticity Analysis
Price sensitivity of demand and revenue, computed with the Pricing Simulation engine on shared M1 demand, activated M2 allocations and published M2/M3 tariffs.
Analysis ConfigurationDEMO
Baseline = current published tariff, activated allocation, no demand adjustment.
Price vs DemandDEMO
Forecast vs served vehicles (capped by activated allocation).
Price vs RevenueDEMO
Best compliant and theoretical maximum marked.
Revenue & Demand SensitivityDEMO
% change vs current by price change; red = fails a guardrail.
Capacity Utilization ImpactDEMO
Peak (time-overlapping) and average occupancy of physical capacity.
Price Sensitivity TableDEMO
Next 7 days · elasticity -0.35 (DEMO) · same engine as Pricing Simulation.
| Scenario | Proposed tariff | Forecast demand | Served | Expected revenue | Revenue change | Peak occupancy | Capacity risk | Guardrails | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| −15.0% | SAR 21.25 | 22,460 | 22,116 | SAR 2,101,973 | −4.4% | 96% | Critical | Decreases only when peak occupancy < 95%; Decrease must not push demand beyond activated allocation | |
| −10.0% | SAR 22.50 | 22,087 | 21,808 | SAR 2,138,267 | −2.8% | 96% | Critical | Decreases only when peak occupancy < 95%; Decrease must not push demand beyond activated allocation | |
| −5.0% | SAR 23.75 | 21,713 | 21,487 | SAR 2,169,924 | −1.3% | 96% | Critical | Decreases only when peak occupancy < 95%; Decrease must not push demand beyond activated allocation | |
| Current tariff | SAR 25 | 21,340 | 21,161 | SAR 2,199,175 | 0.0% | 96% | Critical | — | |
| +5.0% | SAR 26.25 | 20,967 | 20,826 | SAR 2,214,298 | +0.7% | 96% | Critical | Pass | |
| +10.0% | SAR 27.50 | 20,593 | 20,487 | SAR 2,227,380 | +1.3% | 96% | Critical | Pass | |
| +15.0% | SAR 28.75 | 20,220 | 20,144 | SAR 2,238,392 | +1.8% | 96% | Critical | Pass |
Optimal Price AnalysisDEMO
Scanned across ±30% of the current tariff.
Opening a scenario only pre-fills Pricing Simulation. Submission, approval and publication remain separate M5/PARCS actions.
Elasticity InsightsDEMO
DEMO rule-based analysis — not live AI-generated recommendations.
- Demand sensitivityElasticity -0.35: a 10% price rise changes demand by −3.5% (inelastic).
- Do price increases raise revenue?Yes — +10% gives SAR 28,205 more.
- Do price reductions create capacity risk?Yes — −10% adds 39 vehicles over the activated allocation at peak (risk Critical).
- Best expected outcomeSAR 28.50 (+14.0%) → SAR 2,236,255.
- Why this tariffHighest revenue among tariffs in ±30% that pass all M5 guardrails; the theoretical maximum SAR 30 is excluded because it fails change within ±15% cap. Served volume is capped by the activated M2 allocation.